Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 13.319757 15.269433 17.352859 19.738934 22.389894 25.238607 28.525037
2025-08-03 10.223411 12.774353 15.690670 19.248879 23.449144 28.224956 34.039916
2025-08-10 8.357916 11.168753 14.553323 18.883815 24.228208 30.556452 38.560009
2025-08-17 6.995653 9.914616 13.590844 18.488250 24.760796 32.439464 42.454043
2025-08-24 5.961786 8.916387 12.791901 18.143722 25.224967 34.146770 46.092166
2025-08-31 5.055846 7.963438 11.927990 17.590644 25.312295 35.300422 48.994917
2025-09-07 4.519585 7.454472 11.595283 17.685732 26.208286 37.481537 53.249879
2025-09-14 4.043406 6.972710 11.243096 17.700829 26.958554 39.460371 57.270972
2025-09-21 3.683717 6.623010 11.040203 17.892290 27.933628 41.748792 61.755871
2025-09-28 3.321568 6.226863 10.726918 17.884582 28.600547 43.611596 65.695013
2025-10-05 3.109404 6.049506 10.726316 18.329296 29.924259 46.419094 71.012492
2025-10-12 2.894864 5.843701 10.659217 18.656472 31.073092 49.000954 76.075627
2025-10-19 2.656032 5.574817 10.474456 18.793831 31.951199 51.239447 80.750918
2025-10-26 2.330628 5.114042 9.934212 18.324022 31.866903 52.054826 83.386284
2025-11-02 2.064642 4.731315 9.490656 17.973552 31.934979 53.076913 86.329761
2025-11-09 1.825006 4.369856 9.051184 17.593840 31.924459 53.961434 89.073871
2025-11-16 1.619793 4.051318 8.659288 17.263166 31.964849 54.907911 91.918274
2025-11-23 1.411468 3.699159 8.173765 16.732424 31.640173 55.261988 93.854373
2025-11-30 1.301891 3.544921 8.046060 16.823664 32.348219 57.245760 98.331216
2025-12-07 1.193740 3.380187 7.883512 16.838150 32.919642 59.021355 102.522374
2025-12-14 1.113390 3.269148 7.816869 17.021874 33.783327 61.284015 107.525342
2025-12-21 1.020906 3.117374 7.654963 17.014477 34.307992 63.005133 111.708381
2025-12-28 0.976622 3.077947 7.720496 17.441273 35.610701 66.031279 118.036328